By Robert J. Garrison
While everybody was waiting for Wikileaks to drop an October surprise on Hillary, which they did, the Republican nominee, Donald Trump, had his own October surprise dropped on him Friday.
Last weekend was effectively the death of the Trump campaign. Yet, let’s be honest, it’s not like we didn’t see this coming. I mean really people we know more stuff is going to come out. These scandals are distracting Donald Trump from talking about issues that really matter to voters.
On Friday, the media uncovered a hot mic conversation between Donald Trump and an access Hollywood reporter, Billy Bush back in 2005, that contained very lewd comments about women.
While the Republican nominee Donald Trump did try to get out in front of the story by releasing a written statement quickly after the Washington Post broke the story. Trump also released a video apologizing for the comments. But what about the debate performance?
While Trump clearly gave the debate performance if his career, I believe it will not be enough to overcome the blatant media bias and onslaught that will come after the debate. Trump’s debate performance fired up his base big time. Yet, I’m not convinced that it will win him any independents or more of the woman vote. Therefore, It’s the end of Trump’s campaign.
GOP leaders can’t run fast enough away from their nominee’s latest scandal. The RNC chairman, Reince Priebus, Speaker Paul Ryan and other GOP leaders have condemned the comments, they have yet to retracted their endorsement! Even though the RNC and GOP leadership have refused to retract their endorsement or call for their nominee to step down, there are some within the GOP that are. While that is an obvious and correct reaction to such a scandal, it is likely not probable. Why?
Donald Trump is an anti-establishment candidate. All this noise by the establishment within the GOP does nothing to hurt Trump among his base. Besides, Donald Trump is already on the ballot and most states have deadlines to get candidates on the ballot that had already come and gone. So the GOP has no alternative but to leave Donald Trump on the ballot since they can’t take him off and legally put someone else on.
There is only one way that the GOP might be able to salvage this election is if the Republican nominee Donald Trump officially steps down and allows Mike Pence to become the new GOP nominee. This would require a lot of money, which I believe would come in, since Mike Pence is well liked in the GOP. Also, the GOP would have to roll out a multi-million dollar campaign to convince voters that they could still win the election. We are only a month away from the election. It is not clear whether the GOP and its donors would have the appetite to spend millions on a long shot. Yet, that is the only hope for them to have a shot at salvaging this election. The most likely thing that will happen is that they will disavow Donald Trump as their nominee and cut off all funding for the campaign and focus completely on the Senate and House races.
RIP, Donald J. Trump 2016 campaign! I bet you wish we hardly knew ye.
P.S. This is conventional political analysis, which for the most part, hasn’t worked when analyzing Trump, so I could be totally wrong but I doubt it this time.
Robert J. Garrison is a political and religious writer for The Systems Scientist. You can connect with him directly in the comments section, follow him on Twitter or on Facebook, or catch up on his articles in the Archives.
Copyright ©2016 – The Systems Scientist