Tag: Nekima Levy Pounds for mayor

Sunday Data Dump: North side crime in Minneapolis in July 2017

The Minneapolis City government elections are slowing approaching. The big day is Tuesday, November 7th. And so the mission of this blog until November 7th is to provide data sets relevant to the mayoral race and the city council races, for which there are 13 council seats. Today’s data dump provides July crime data for two of those council seats – the 4th and 5th Wards. It should be noted that these two wards reside on the north side of Minneapolis.

There are a couple of things to consider while sifting through the data in Table 1Table 2, and Table 3. First, the total number of reported crimes for both wards together is 451. Second, the distribution of violent and non-violent crimes in the 4th Ward is fairly similar to the distribution of violent and non-violent crimes in the 5th Ward.

Table 1: 4th Ward Crime

Neighborhood Homicide Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larceny Auto Theft Arson Total
Folwell 0 4 2 11 9 14 3 0 43
Webber-Camden 0 0 4 7 10 13 5 0 39
Lind-Bohanon 0 1 1 3 8 16 2 0 31
Cleveland 0 0 1 12 2 7 3 2 27
McKinley 0 1 2 5 1 7 1 0 17
Victory 0 1 0 1 4 7 2 0 15
Shingle Creek 0 0 0 1 3 8 0 0 12
Camden Industrial 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 0 6
Humboldt Industrial Area 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 0 7 11 40 38 74 18 2 190
(Crime/Total) x 100% 0 3.68 5.79 21.1 20.0 38.9 9.47 1.05 100

(Source: City of Minneapolis)

For example,  violent crimes accounted for 31 percent of all reported crimes in the 4th Ward in July. Similarly, violent crimes accounted for 30.3 percent of all reported crimes in the 5th Ward in July. And of course this means that the reported non-violent crimes for the 4th Ward in July were about the same for the non-violent crimes for the 5th Ward in July.

It should be noted that the difference between violent crime and non-violent crime is the component of bodily harm. This means that homicide, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault are violent crimes because they include bodily harm, while burglary, larceny, auto theft, and arson are non-violent crimes because they don’t include bodily harm.

As information and a useful potential tool,  this violent/non-violent distribution can be viewed as 30/70. That is, 30 percent of the reported crimes in the 4th and 5th Wards are violent and 70 percent of the reported crimes in the 4th and 5th Wards are non-violent.

Table 2: 5th Ward Crime

Neighborhood Homicide Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larceny Auto Theft Arson Total
Jordan 0 0 8 17 10 22 5 1 63
Hawthorne 0 6 6 11 4 21 4 1 51
North Loop 0 0 4 0 3 39 3 0 49
Near-North 1 0 4 8 2 31 2 0 48
Willard-Hay 1 2 5 5 5 9 7 0 34
Harrison 0 1 0 2 3 7 0 0 13
Sumner-Glenwood 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 3
Total 2 7 27 43 27 132 21 2 261
(Crime/Total) x 100% 0.77 2.68 10.3 16.5 10.3 50.6 8.05 0.77 100

(Source: City of Minneapolis)

This 30/70 fact can now be compared and contrasted with other wards and neighborhoods, for example, the Downtown West neighborhood. The first observation to glean from the three data sets is that Downtown West experienced more crime in July than the 4th and 5th Wards: 262, 261, 190.

It should be noted that the Downtown West neighborhood was addressed in the Wednesday Data Dump: The most crime ridden neighborhood in Minneapolis in 2017.

Second, 20.3 percent of the reported crimes in the Downtown West neighborhood are violent and 79.7 percent of the reported crimes are non-violent, or 20/80. This comparison illustrates that the north side wards experience about 10 percent more violent crime than Downtown West, which is the most crime ridden neighborhood in Minneapolis. Going forward, the difference between 30/70 and 20/80 will provide some interesting insights into what is happening between the respective systems.

Table 3: Downtown West Crime

Neighborhood Homicide Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Burglary Larceny Auto Theft Arson Total
Downtown West 1 4 30 18 8 195 6 0 262
(Crime/Total) x 100% 0.38 1.53 11.5 6.87 3.05 74.4 2.29 0 100

(Source: City of Minneapolis)

For now, this difference in violent crime data observations should elicit curiosity and questions. For instance, why might this difference be? What factors could contribute to the greater number of violent crimes on the north side? Obviously, these are just two questions that derive from the data. These aren’t questions that derive from political narratives.

And so this begs the question, are candidates like Nekima Levy-Pounds (mayoral candidate/former president of the NAACP), Jacob Frey (mayoral candidate/3rd Ward Council Member), Blong Yang (5th Ward Council Member), or Barbara Johnson (4th Ward Council Member) aware of the crime data in the 4th and 5th Wards and the Downtown West neighborhood?

Another question to ponder is, do Barbara Johnson, Blong Yang, and Jacob Frey receive weekly or monthly economic data profiles, including crime, for their respective wards? This question is asked because crime has been increasing over the past four years, for example, between 2010 and 2013, there were a total of  9,293 reported crimes; whereas, between 2014 and today, there have been a total of 9,598 and there are still 5 months of crime data left to report. And to be considerate, would a Mayor Nekima Levy-Pounds consider such a tool-kit?

 

Matt has a Bachelor of Science in Systems Science, with focuses in applied mathematics and economic systems, from Iowa State University. He is also a professional member of the Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics and the International Society for the Systems Sciences and a scholarly member of Omicron Delta Epsilon, which is an International Honors Society for Economics. 

You can connect with him directly in the comments section, and follow him on Facebook

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Photo Credit: Blong Yang, 5th Ward Council Member, Wikimedia Commons

 

 

 

 

 

 

Copyright ©2017 – The Systems Scientist

Nekima Levy-Pounds doesn’t have a plan

By Jamar Nelson

Nekima is not only strong but arrogant and sometimes confuses her strength for brute. Nekima can definitely call people together, sometimes speak to their hearts, and on occasion say what many people won’t or are afraid to say. Great!

Gathering people is cool, but it needs to be done for the right cause, i.e., jobs, housing, business, and crime. One example of a cause that needs to be addressed is, how black on black crime is concentrated and rising at an astronomical rate on the north side of Minneapolis. It is not only destroying lives, but it is driving down the value of homes and taking innocent lives. Not to mention, it is adding to the already increasing rates of non-white males in the prison system. However, instead of addressing the issues, she will blame it all on the white man. Talking about black on black crime is not “doing the white man’s work” as she often says.

I’m not okay with the fact that she never wants to talk about black on black crime. Why I do I believe it is important for her to talk about black on black crime? It’s important because crime affects jobs, housing, businesses and the community.

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This issue is becoming not only redundant but more incredibly serious when you’ve had over 200 shootings in 2016; for which, the majority of these have been black on black or non-white on non-white. We know this because Minneapolis is still fairly segregated and the shootings are taking place in predominantly non-white neighborhoods. A candidate has to talk about it, have a plan for it, and be willing to discuss it with concerned constituents. With this said, one can only guess that 2017 will be the OK Corral.

So what would 2018 look like with Nekima Levy-Pounds at the helm? My guess it will be as cataclysmic as tornadoes.

Speaking of tornadoes, remember the tornado that hit North Minneapolis? Since then minority homeownership has gone down and she has never addressed this reality. Why is this important? It is important because if a man owns his own home he is less likely to break into another man’s home. This is because he has worked hard to earn and maintain what he has.

Here’s something else to consider regarding renting versus owning. Renting is at an all-time high! What’s her solution to increase minority home ownership? Once again she hasn’t addressed this reality and come out with a plan to change this reality.

As for entrepreneurship, why isn’t she talking about more minority-owned businesses in North Minneapolis and other parts of Minneapolis? What kind of policies could she put forth to rectify and increase minority business? This is important because businesses create jobs in the community. It’s also important because if a person has a job and learns there is dignity in work, he is less likely to rob another for what he has because he himself has worked hard to earn his coin. Yet again what’s her plan?

How about crime? The crime rate drastically brings down the value of someone’s home and as a homeowner why should he or she have to deal with the devaluing of their home due to nothing of their doing but only because of the crime in the neighborhood? Where is she on crime? What’s her plan?

Similarly, what is her plan about policing the communities? She would tell you she has had a positive affect on operations within the Minneapolis Police Department. I would so beg to differ. I don’t know one thing she can point to that she has changed for the better in the operations in the Minneapolis Police Department. The only thing she has done is added fuel to an already divisive fire. Once again what’s her plan?

Minneapolis is a multicultural city and it shows in the neighborhoods around the city. A Mayor must represent and reflect that as well. I have no doubt she will not because she doesn’t have a plan!

 

Jamar Nelson is a guest writer for The Systems Scientist. He is also a co-host of The Black Republican/Black Democrat Show on Twin Cities News Talk in Minneapolis, MN. He is a loyal Democrat and Dallas Cowboys fan.

 You can connect with him directly in the comments section, and follow him on Twitter or on Facebook

You can also follow The Systems Scientist on Twitter or Facebook.

Photo credit: Lorie Shaull

 

 

 

Copyright ©2017 – The Systems Scientist